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Inside issue one

Issue No. 1Oct 12, 2026Allocation Curious

Thinking Machines Lab

Same company, very different economics

Thinking Machines Lab has investors lining up for what we understand is an oversubscribed, Accel-led round of roughly $6B at about $46B post-money.

At the lower end of the offers we’re seeing, investors can access vehicles holding shares directly on the company’s cap table for 8-10% upfront, with no management fee or carry.

Compare that with a recent offer targeting smaller checks: $52B effective entry before another 5-10% upfront and 15-20% carry.

Same company. Very different prices to get in.

About Allocation Curious

Notes from the private markets: who’s raising, what investors are paying, and what we’re watching. We share observations from our work and opportunities on our desk.

Published by a team of private markets investors and allocators

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